The Outlook for 2016
Moderate economic growth with low interest rates, punctuated with bouts of pessimism and volatility—the factors that have characterized the world economy for the past few years—are likely to continue in 2016, supporting moderate growth in commercial rents and investment sales volume globally.
Expect 2016 to be a year of volatile markets but steady economic growth. Consumers in the U.S., EU and many parts of Asia Pacific are spending gains from rising incomes, low interest rates and low oil prices, which should support GDP growth.
In 2016, global prime rents across the three major property types—office, industrial and retail—are expected to grow 2.2% on an annual basis, according to estimates from CBRE’s Global Rent Index.
Global commercial real estate investment markets are expected to remain active in 2016, but the pace of growth is anticipated to slow after six years of recovery and price appreciation.
Most U.S. and European office markets are expected to tighten further in 2016 as demand for space is expected to outpace limited new development. However, Asia Pacific office markets will be more mixed.
Retailers and mall operators are adopting new “placemaking” strategies to compete with e-commerce, which combined with stronger consumers, should stimulate more demand for retail space globally.
Robust demand from e-commerce and third-party logistics companies for warehouse and distribution space—including for smaller in-fill locations within major metros—will continue to reshape the industrial market.
Regional and Country Outlooks
Explore region- and country-specific outlooks from CBRE Research teams around the world.