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2016 Global Real Estate Market Outlook

Moderate growth in commercial rents and investment activity

The Outlook for 2016

Moderate economic growth with low interest rates, punctuated with bouts of pessimism and volatility—the factors that have characterized the world economy for the past few years—are likely to continue in 2016, supporting moderate growth in commercial rents and investment sales volume globally.

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Economy

Expect 2016 to be a year of volatile markets but steady economic growth. Consumers in the U.S., EU and many parts of Asia Pacific are spending gains from rising incomes, low interest rates and low oil prices, which should support GDP growth.

Rents

In 2016, global prime rents across the three major property types—office, industrial and retail—are expected to grow 2.2% on an annual basis, according to estimates from CBRE’s Global Rent Index.

Capital Markets

Global commercial real estate investment markets are expected to remain active in 2016, but the pace of growth is anticipated to slow after six years of recovery and price appreciation.

Office

Most U.S. and European office markets are expected to tighten further in 2016 as demand for space is expected to outpace limited new development. However, Asia Pacific office markets will be more mixed.

Retail

Retailers and mall operators are adopting new “placemaking” strategies to compete with e-commerce, which combined with stronger consumers, should stimulate more demand for retail space globally.

Industrial

Robust demand from e-commerce and third-party logistics companies for warehouse and distribution space—including for smaller in-fill locations within major metros—will continue to reshape the industrial market.

Regional and Country Outlooks

Explore region- and country-specific outlooks from CBRE Research teams around the world.

Americas
Canada (English) (Français) | Denver | Southeast U.S.

Asia Pacific
Asia Pacific | Australia | Greater China | India | Japan | Singapore | Korea | New Zealand | Taiwan

EMEA
EMEA | Czech Republic | Denmark | Ireland | Northern Ireland | U.K.








Global Real Estate Market Outlook

For more information please contact:

Nick Axford, Ph.D.
Head of Research, Global
+44 20718 22876
Richard Barkham, Ph.D.
Chief Economist, Global
+44 20718 22665
Jos Tromp
Head of Research, EMEA
+31 (0)20 626 26 91
Henry Chin, Ph.D.
Head of Research, Asia Pacific
Asia Pacific
Research
+852 2820 8160
+852 2810 0830
Spencer Levy
Head of Research, Americas
+1 617 9125236