Article | Intelligent Investment

Business Insights | Has the investment window closed on the Sydney office sector?

There’s opportunity in Sydney’s evolving office market, according to CBRE experts.

September 15, 2025

By James Parry

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The Sydney office market is at a pivotal moment. As capital markets recalibrate and investors reassess their strategies, one question is echoing across boardrooms and investment committees: Have we missed the window to invest in Sydney office assets?

The short answer?  Not yet.

Buyers are watching, but not all are moving

Across the market, we’re seeing a growing cohort of investors slowly moving off the sidelines to participate. There’s plenty of interest, but it’s not translating into transactions.

This hesitation is understandable with the current trend of macroeconomic uncertainty, evolving workplace dynamics, and a recalibration of asset values. Many are simply waiting for a clear signal. But in capital markets, waiting too long can be just as risky as moving too early.

Core owners are holding firm

One of the key dynamics shaping the current landscape is the lack of core CBD stock coming to market. Prime Sydney office owners, particularly those holding premium-grade assets in the heart of the CBD are not under pressure to sell. Their conviction in the long-term fundamentals of Sydney is strong, and they’re holding firm.

This supply-side constraint is creating upward pressure on pricing and intensifying competition for the few assets that do come to market.

The value gap is widening

There’s now a clear value disparity between Sydney CBD core assets and the rest of the Sydney office market. Core Sydney yields are tightening to around 6%, while comparable assets in other major markets are trading at 7–8%. This spread is prompting savvy investors to look beyond the traditional 1-square-kilometre core in search of better value.

Figure 1: Prime Cap Rate Comparison

prime-cap-rate-comparison-figure
Source: CBRE Research as of Q2 2025

(Click to enlarge)


Figure 2: Widening of spread between Prime Yields CBD Core v Other Geos (2019 to 2025)

widening-of-spread-between-prime-yields-figure
Source: CBRE Research, 2019 to 2025

(Click to enlarge)

The opportunity lies in flexibility

If you're willing to expand your geographic lens to consider fringe CBD, metro, or even select suburban markets the opportunities are compelling. These locations and precincts offer attractive yields, lower entry points, and strong fundamentals, particularly in precincts benefitting from infrastructure investment, urban renewal, and tenant migration.

Now is the time to engage

The Sydney office market is not closed it’s just evolving. The next wave of opportunity will belong to those who are proactive, flexible, and ready to engage.

Waiting for the perfect moment may mean missing the best one.

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